tonybeny7
0x4c3121cf592e3d4e7a248b1cd38d357c46cfd8a4
- Realised P&L
- $-13.1k
- Volume
- $136.2k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.69at 0.607Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$74.32at 0.577Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$24.24at 0.394Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
- +$22.24at 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$13.08at 0.437Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 21:25 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 12:06 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $14.29 |
| 07-01 10:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8918428339 | $400.00 |
| 07-01 10:09 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1259999997 | $300.00 |
| 06-30 15:32 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 15:32 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 15:31 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:28 | Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:27 | Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:27 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 16:26 | Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:23 | Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:23 | Brazil to score first vs. Japan? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:23 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |