PolyBot

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Traders

tonybeny7

0x4c3121cf592e3d4e7a248b1cd38d357c46cfd8a4

Realised P&L
$-13.1k
Volume
$136.2k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1300.011$1.2k$13.2k
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4440.000$0.00$22.20
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.20
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5 · Over0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$11.25
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$19.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score · No0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$18.50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$5.00
Brazil to score first vs. Japan? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.30
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner · Sashi Esport0.3370.000$0.00$18.55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 02:59Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.9$10.00
07-04 21:25Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.0409999923$5.00
07-01 12:06Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.01$14.29
07-01 10:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8918428339$400.00
07-01 10:09Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1259999997$300.00
06-30 15:32Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
06-30 15:32Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
06-30 15:31Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
06-29 16:28Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5$5.00
06-29 16:27Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5BUY0.7899999826$5.00
06-29 16:27Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7299999876$10.00
06-29 16:26Spread: Brazil (-1.5)BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-29 16:23Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5BUY0.2$5.00
06-29 16:23Brazil to score first vs. Japan?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
06-29 16:23Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5BUY0.4299999931$10.00