PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c2966a198cd7ac982110d0219b037afa9997570

Realised P&L
$113.7k
Volume
$146.88M
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? · No0.9040.973$1.6k+$110.40
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? · No0.9100.979$1.5k+$102.25
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? · No0.8920.955$1.4k+$89.23
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? · Databricks0.1780.545$400.57+$269.92
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? · No0.6600.895$229.58+$60.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 14:27Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-31 14:27Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-31 14:26Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?BUY0.998$4.99
07-31 14:26Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-31 14:26Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-26 06:06Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?BUY0.93$504.98
07-26 03:45Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?SELL0.0900882742$6.12
07-24 09:29Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?BUY0.66$169.30
07-24 09:22Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?SELL0.2913733181$316.60
07-23 19:46Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?SELL0.2751400244$33.86
07-23 17:13Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?SELL0.2495529263$237.08
07-22 18:03Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?BUY0.97$223.20
07-20 16:51Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?BUY0.91$1.3k
07-20 16:50Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?BUY0.9028823891$382.15
07-20 16:49Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?BUY0.9042263355$1.5k