PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c1be6c15d56cec0172eb480c6a3ed095049dcd4

Realised P&L
$-28.62
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$54.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.3190.350$9.86+$0.86
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2140.222$7.76+$0.26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0950.116$6.11+$1.11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0490.054$5.54+$0.54
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.003$5.09$3.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0560.051$4.60$0.40
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes0.2800.125$4.46$5.54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9600.949$2.96$0.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.115$2.88$0.13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0890.111$2.48+$0.48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.025$2.13+$0.13
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.50$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSELL0.03$0.44
09-15 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.1399999979$4.00
09-15 17:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$3.00
09-15 16:51Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0487077531$5.00
09-15 16:50Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-15 16:48Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0559999996$5.00
09-15 16:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.96$3.00
09-15 16:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ETBUY0.299999985$2.00
09-15 16:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ETBUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-15 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.25$2.71
09-15 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-15 12:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-15 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSELL0.999$18.49
09-15 12:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.269999993$5.00
09-15 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.01$1.00