0x4c1be6c15d56cec0172eb480c6a3ed095049dcd4
- Realised P&L
- $-28.62
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $54.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.28at 0.170Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$27.27at 0.217Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.85at 0.548Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.30at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$3.27at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.44 |
| 09-15 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999979 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 17:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 16:51 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0487077531 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:50 | Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 16:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 16:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $2.71 |
| 09-15 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $18.49 |
| 09-15 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |