Redl
0x4c19882595411527dad1b2bb3a5ae9e0a33f8202
- Realised P&L
- $94.28
- Volume
- $857.82
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $171.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.64at 0.462Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$3.12at 0.772Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.45at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?
- +$2.16at 0.900Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
- +$2.02at 0.898Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.68 |
| 11-01 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.68 |
| 11-01 20:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 2? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.70 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9760951275 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 7? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 14:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of November 2 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999961 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of November 2 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |