PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4C15dDf430a6b19a480ad6E9FB19015810Bd99aD-1770366146804

0x4c15ddf430a6b19a480ad6e9fb19015810bd99ad

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$7.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? · No0.9970.996$7.60$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:51Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999997$7.61
08-03 09:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.999$7.24
07-22 01:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?BUY0.9969999998$8.93
07-13 06:41Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.998$5.64
06-13 05:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?BUY0.998$7.35
05-28 06:56Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?BUY0.9969999998$5.15
04-30 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?BUY0.9969999998$8.61
04-14 05:36Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$9.13
04-02 03:17Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 2?BUY0.999$5.84
03-27 09:32Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.995$169.62
03-27 07:24Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.998$170.13
03-27 07:21Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.995$179.34
03-27 05:20Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.996$179.52
03-27 05:20Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.995$172.95
03-27 03:08Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.996$173.13