0x4C15dDf430a6b19a480ad6E9FB19015810Bd99aD-1770366146804
0x4c15ddf430a6b19a480ad6e9fb19015810bd99ad
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $7.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $7.60 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.59076ers vs. Kings
- +$2.89at 0.430Thunder vs. Celtics
- +$0.04at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 20?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $7.61 |
| 08-03 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.24 |
| 07-22 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.93 |
| 07-13 06:41 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.64 |
| 06-13 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.35 |
| 05-28 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.15 |
| 04-30 06:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.61 |
| 04-14 05:36 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.13 |
| 04-02 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.84 |
| 03-27 09:32 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $169.62 |
| 03-27 07:24 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $170.13 |
| 03-27 07:21 | Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $179.34 |
| 03-27 05:20 | Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $179.52 |
| 03-27 05:20 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $172.95 |
| 03-27 03:08 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $173.13 |