PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Theloot

0x4c125ba32f343f505f2cc39b2d95e9819acd8270

Realised P&L
$55.80
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$78.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? · Yes0.5300.685$38.77+$8.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? · Yes0.5060.580$34.39+$4.39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? · Yes0.6870.025$4.97$131.74
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.1660.001$0.12$39.88
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.0960.001$0.10$19.90
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22? · Yes0.2850.001$0.07$39.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 04:51Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23?BUY0.5299999961$30.00
09-22 04:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.5251864396$25.00
09-22 04:49Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.4275026475$5.00
09-21 17:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.6872133369$136.71
09-21 16:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.9944851478$138.94
09-21 05:13Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.28542947$39.46
09-21 05:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.1656257543$40.00
09-21 05:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.0958801498$20.00
09-20 14:28Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.5826908912$81.41