Theloot
0x4c125ba32f343f505f2cc39b2d95e9819acd8270
- Realised P&L
- $55.80
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $78.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.685 | $38.77 | +$8.77 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.580 | $34.39 | +$4.39 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.025 | $4.97 | −$131.74 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$39.88 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$19.90 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$39.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.80at 0.595Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 04:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5251864396 | $25.00 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4275026475 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 17:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6872133369 | $136.71 |
| 09-21 16:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9944851478 | $138.94 |
| 09-21 05:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.28542947 | $39.46 |
| 09-21 05:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1656257543 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 05:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0958801498 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5826908912 | $81.41 |