0x4C089e6e341036986D75325acbD876F0d2725107-1786167971567
0x4c089e6e341036986d75325acbd876f0d2725107
- Realised P&L
- $-12.45
- Volume
- $714.69
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $26.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.210 | $9.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.205 | $8.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.080 | $4.80 | −$4.20 |
| Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.087 | $4.35 | −$4.65 |
| Bills vs. Texans · Texans | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.239Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?
- +$1.14at 0.229Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?
- +$-4.56at 0.055Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:19 | Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East? | SELL | 0.0294171556 | $5.01 |
| 09-11 17:23 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | SELL | 0.2622396088 | $10.73 |
| 09-07 16:41 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 20:20 | Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.0528017178 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:19 | Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:18 | Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:15 | Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:13 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.2199999858 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:11 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? | BUY | 0.2299999849 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 20:10 | Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? | BUY | 0.2299999849 | $9.00 |