0x4c06399e002b6e3adb3175010259199f826fdf69
0x4c06399e002b6e3adb3175010259199f826fdf69
- Realised P&L
- $110.71
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $11.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.570 | $11.40 | +$6.40 |
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mauricio Ruffy | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Dooho Choi | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.67at 0.235UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$60.78at 0.145Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$30.60at 0.123Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
- +$9.17at 0.312Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$7.45at 0.019Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:00 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2299999965 | $2.60 |
| 09-20 02:37 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 02:37 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:34 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:33 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 00:25 | Will Robelis Despaigne win in Round 2? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 00:23 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 22:05 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 23:04 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 20:24 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 20:23 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 08-16 03:18 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | SELL | 0.074 | $3.76 |
| 08-15 19:13 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.69 |
| 07-26 00:45 | La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 23:23 | La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |