rug33
0x4bf5deb8d4593e2c03e9d315e4d3c6281f0829b7
- Realised P&L
- $-182.36
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 567
- Open portfolio
- $22.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded567
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.800 | 0.790 | $7.50 | −$0.09 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.565 | $7.43 | −$0.07 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks · Jets | 0.560 | 0.545 | $7.30 | −$0.20 |
| Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.09 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.08 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| D.C. United SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.68 |
| Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.61 |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-13? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Rams vs. Eagles · Eagles | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.48at 0.315LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
- +$110.95at 0.485Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$50.71at 0.455Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$40.85at 0.475Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$31.30at 0.291LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $7.50 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.56 | $7.50 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $7.59 |
| 10-15 04:03 | Will Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.47 |
| 10-15 01:42 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.50 |
| 10-14 20:15 | Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.86 | $7.26 |
| 10-14 20:15 | Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $7.34 |
| 10-14 19:39 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 10-14 19:39 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 10-14 16:35 | Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $7.50 |
| 10-14 16:35 | Canadiens vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.54 | $7.50 |
| 10-14 02:38 | Maple Leafs vs. Utah | BUY | 0.97 | $7.82 |
| 10-14 00:15 | Kraken vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.69 | $7.04 |
| 10-13 22:03 | Spread: Red Wings (-1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $7.50 |
| 10-13 16:17 | SSC Napoli leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.17 |