0x4bf3df596b50172ef4a8bd175cf3e60abaed66ac
0x4bf3df596b50172ef4a8bd175cf3e60abaed66ac
- Realised P&L
- $-10.94
- Volume
- $103.17
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $12.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $120 on October 8? · No | 0.950 | 0.995 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET · Up | 0.960 | 1.000 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 8? · No | 0.960 | 0.997 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 9? · No | 0.950 | 0.981 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 9? · No | 0.960 | 0.978 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.989 | 1.000 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagy · Jessica Pieri | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 on October 8? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.35 on October 8? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Charo Esquiva Banuls · Charo Esquiva Banuls | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.46at 0.374ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handel
- +$1.18at 0.467Spread: AS Saint-Étienne (-1.5)
- +$1.14at 0.730ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Nicola Senn vs Tymur Bieldiugin
- +$0.96at 0.682ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaar
- +$0.56at 0.648ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinski
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:30 | Will Solana dip to $110 on October 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:00 | Will Solana reach $120 on October 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 08:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 08:31 | Will XRP dip to $1.35 on October 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 08:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 07:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9889999955 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 09:57 | ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handel | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:57 | ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinski | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:56 | ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagy | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:56 | ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagy | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:56 | ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handel | BUY | 0.2589998658 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:55 | ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagy | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 09:55 | ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaar | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |