0x4bf3b085f93b4bf11f90e9c18bb91494e82445f3
0x4bf3b085f93b4bf11f90e9c18bb91494e82445f3
- Realised P&L
- $11.15
- Volume
- $109.26
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.500 | 0.415 | $10.64 | −$2.18 |
| Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut · Lukas Neumayer | 0.500 | 0.370 | $2.74 | −$0.96 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.62 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.04 |
| San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky · Daniel Milavsky | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.82 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners · Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.42 |
| Hangzhou Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong · Zhizhen Zhang | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic · Noemi Basiletti | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.34 |
| Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino · Nao Hibino | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.21at 0.198San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$11.36at 0.500Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov
- +$10.12at 0.500Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$9.80at 0.500Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
- +$9.09at 0.500Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:10 | Hangzhou Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.13 | $4.76 |
| 09-23 19:33 | Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic | BUY | 0.33 | $4.34 |
| 09-23 19:32 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5299999754 | $4.96 |
| 09-23 19:32 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.19 | $9.52 |