0x4bf0b31966f1d39e23172103f57a1e9fd61e25e9
0x4bf0b31966f1d39e23172103f57a1e9fd61e25e9
- Realised P&L
- $-37.26
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor vs. Arizona State · Baylor | 0.600 | 0.375 | $3.59 | −$2.16 |
| UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims) · Javier Reyes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.33 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.72 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.40 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.52 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.67at 0.062Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$52.52at 0.114Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$44.20at 0.166Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$33.57at 0.111Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$15.88at 0.124Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:10 | Baylor vs. Arizona State | BUY | 0.5999999791 | $5.75 |
| 09-25 22:31 | Clemson vs. California | BUY | 0.5599999866 | $3.35 |
| 09-25 22:30 | Army vs. Temple | SELL | 0.32 | $3.42 |
| 09-25 09:55 | Army vs. Temple | BUY | 0.4099999645 | $4.39 |
| 09-23 19:15 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | BUY | 0.5599999277 | $2.48 |
| 09-22 23:38 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.21 | $2.63 |
| 09-22 22:19 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5899999872 | $7.39 |
| 09-21 20:09 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7399999921 | $5.64 |
| 09-20 16:31 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 16:41 | Spread: Alabama (-18.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 22:50 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 19:19 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 19:18 | UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 09:16 | Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5) | SELL | 0.49 | $9.85 |
| 09-14 12:20 | Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4975124378 | $10.00 |