0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4
0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4
- Realised P&L
- $-58.70
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.92at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$15.00at 0.065Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
- +$7.19at 0.126Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
- +$5.99at 0.150Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?
- +$5.04at 0.160Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-30 16:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.0052100252 | $0.37 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.007960199 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.854 | $2.05 |
| 09-24 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.022772277 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.4159998536 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |