PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4

0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4

Realised P&L
$-58.70
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$0.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0040.002$0.50−$0.50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 5? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:54Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 1?BUY0.004$1.00
09-30 19:10Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?SELL0.001$0.20
09-30 16:21Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.0052100252$0.37
09-30 14:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
09-30 14:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.007960199$1.00
09-30 14:02Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.0139999999$1.00
09-30 14:00Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.005$1.00
09-24 14:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?BUY0.006$1.00
09-24 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
09-24 14:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?SELL0.854$2.05
09-24 13:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-24 13:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-24 13:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?BUY0.022772277$1.00
09-24 13:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?BUY0.4159998536$1.00
08-27 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00