hioo
0x4bea177f402e3906b10227c1c18aecd5f8a447e2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-34.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $70 in October? · No | 0.982 | 0.985 | $5.12 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.979Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?
- +$1.04at 0.978Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
- +$0.93at 0.985Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.30at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
- +$0.10at 0.996Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:09 | Will Solana dip to $70 in October? | BUY | 0.9820474402 | $5.10 |
| 09-03 02:43 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 08-13 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 07-03 06:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.10 |
| 06-08 08:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9969998114 | $5.10 |
| 05-20 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.10 |
| 04-07 03:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.10 |
| 03-04 05:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9949998312 | $5.10 |
| 02-09 02:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9929999319 | $5.10 |
| 01-07 05:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $5.10 |
| 12-05 01:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969998114 | $5.10 |
| 11-26 08:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 10-20 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.10 |
| 09-27 07:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September? | BUY | 0.9989998245 | $5.10 |
| 07-09 02:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $76.96 |