8dd
0x4be87af01fcfe75059b2294de2bd586bc431d844
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $38.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.00at 0.750Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$161.80at 0.715Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$144.79at 0.677Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$132.69at 0.931Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$122.22at 0.450Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 23:27 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.385055071 | $289.73 |
| 06-25 23:26 | Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | SELL | 0.338 | $72.43 |
| 06-25 22:32 | Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.279999997 | $60.00 |
| 06-25 20:17 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.546999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 18:53 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8269999998 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 18:53 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6149999977 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 17:39 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.83 | $78.00 |
| 06-23 17:38 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |
| 06-22 18:22 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.15 | $37.53 |
| 06-22 17:39 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.021 | $126.52 |
| 06-22 15:43 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.209999997 | $52.54 |
| 06-22 15:43 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $150.90 |
| 05-30 17:45 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.243607601 | $367.81 |
| 05-30 17:43 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.41 | $398.61 |
| 04-18 14:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $81.00 |