PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

8dd

0x4be87af01fcfe75059b2294de2bd586bc431d844

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3390.220$803.11$435.53
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2620.057$152.44$547.55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2830.125$88.39$111.61
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.053$35.53$64.47
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5790.000$0.00$200.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$289.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$100.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$60.96
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.7640.000$0.00$200.00
Utah vs. Sharks · Utah0.6100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$7.00
Bucks vs. Wizards · Bucks0.7900.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 23:27Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.385055071$289.73
06-25 23:26Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?SELL0.338$72.43
06-25 22:32Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.279999997$60.00
06-25 20:17Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.546999999$100.00
06-25 18:53Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.8269999998$200.00
06-25 18:53Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6149999977$100.00
06-23 17:39Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.83$78.00
06-23 17:38Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6699999993$300.00
06-22 18:22Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?SELL0.15$37.53
06-22 17:39Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.021$126.52
06-22 15:43Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.209999997$52.54
06-22 15:43Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6799999993$150.90
05-30 17:45Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.243607601$367.81
05-30 17:43Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.41$398.61
04-18 14:12Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$81.00