PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4Be6d3628b5393532189AD614D38AA996Bb877cc-1733943376122

0x4be6d3628b5393532189ad614d38aa996bb877cc

Realised P&L
$-46.12
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$34.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? · No0.9980.998$18.00+$0.00
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9991.000$16.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 02:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?BUY0.9982011349$33.70
10-19 17:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22?BUY0.9977228535$18.00
10-17 07:32Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?BUY0.998$19.00
10-16 06:00Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18?BUY0.998$18.90
10-13 17:37Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?BUY0.997$23.00
10-12 19:55Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.995$39.30
10-09 09:11Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.996$12.00
10-06 17:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 7?BUY0.998$40.30
10-04 23:40Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.9979999977$38.90
10-03 10:59Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 3?BUY0.998$19.00
09-29 10:26Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.997$18.00
09-27 20:21Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?BUY0.995$13.00
09-26 22:47Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9949999829$35.00
09-24 21:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 26?BUY0.9946447678$28.00
09-21 09:30Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.997$12.00