PolyBot

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Traders

mcamoa

0x4be5c6651d876a9d52607ecb1ce5fe1b9f7e20c0

Realised P&L
$-41.33
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
383
Open portfolio
$87.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded383
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9300.974$29.20+$1.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18? · Yes0.9280.993$19.86+$1.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9280.990$19.79+$1.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18? · Yes0.8700.972$9.71+$1.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19? · Yes0.8600.910$9.10+$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$24.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 02:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?BUY0.86$8.60
10-15 15:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?BUY0.87$8.70
10-15 02:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?BUY0.928$13.92
10-15 02:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?BUY0.927$4.63
10-15 02:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?BUY0.928$18.56
10-14 13:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?SELL0.981$19.62
10-14 03:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?BUY0.93$27.90
10-13 02:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?BUY0.948$4.74
10-13 02:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?BUY0.947$15.15
10-13 02:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?BUY0.86$12.90
10-12 13:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?BUY0.87$4.35
10-12 13:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?BUY0.87$4.35
10-12 13:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?SELL0.989$19.78
10-12 10:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?BUY0.93$18.60
10-11 11:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.92$18.40