mcamoa
0x4be5c6651d876a9d52607ecb1ce5fe1b9f7e20c0
- Realised P&L
- $-41.33
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $87.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.79at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$11.41at 0.705Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?
- +$10.47at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$10.30at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$9.93at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 02:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-15 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-15 02:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.928 | $13.92 |
| 10-15 02:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.927 | $4.63 |
| 10-15 02:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.928 | $18.56 |
| 10-14 13:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 10-14 03:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 10-13 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 10-13 02:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.947 | $15.15 |
| 10-13 02:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 10-12 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-12 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-12 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 10-12 10:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 10-11 11:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |