jgetadwfdwr
0x4be5c00ca7df74e7ebce0948c56120759d8086f0
- Realised P&L
- $-43.89
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $640.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.991 | $167.39 | +$2.11 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $143.55 | −$0.29 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $99.75 | −$0.15 |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.972 | $97.20 | −$1.30 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $68.79 | −$0.14 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? · No | 0.999 | 0.518 | $51.80 | −$48.10 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.75 Week of August 10 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.995 | $9.81 | +$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.15at 0.813US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.79at 0.839Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$11.92at 0.960Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
- +$8.83at 0.919Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$6.75at 0.986Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 11:26 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 08-10 11:26 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $143.84 |
| 08-10 02:13 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.75 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.919 | $9.06 |
| 08-10 02:12 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-10 02:11 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 06:07 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 08-05 06:06 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $305.24 |
| 08-05 06:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $139.72 |
| 07-25 10:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $201.39 |
| 07-25 10:06 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $215.35 |
| 07-25 10:02 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-19 09:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $355.52 |
| 07-19 09:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $79.76 |
| 07-18 23:33 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-14 12:19 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |