jgetadwfdwr
0x4be5c00ca7df74e7ebce0948c56120759d8086f0
- Realised P&L
- $11.98
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $209.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $69.69 | −$0.24 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $19.93 | −$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $19.93 | −$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $19.93 | −$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $19.93 | −$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $19.92 | −$0.06 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $19.90 | −$0.08 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $5.00? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $19.90 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.15at 0.813US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$13.22at 0.845Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$11.05at 0.960Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
- +$8.83at 0.919Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$6.60at 0.986Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:52 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:52 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:50 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 10-10 01:40 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-10 01:40 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $5.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-21 07:08 | Will Solana dip to $50 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.00 |
| 09-21 07:06 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.24 |
| 09-21 07:05 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $167.99 |
| 09-21 07:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $141.29 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-14 08:52 | Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-14 08:52 | Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $37.85 |