0x4bd46d3d85e79c15e10415d9749fda5b74ec91ab
0x4bd46d3d85e79c15e10415d9749fda5b74ec91ab
- Realised P&L
- $-160.03
- Volume
- $369.6k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $223.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.143Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10AM ET
- +$0.97at 0.276Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$0.44at 0.613Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$0.28at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$0.25at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:32 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:30 | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 18:24 | Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:24 | Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:23 | Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:23 | Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:22 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $26.90 |
| 10-31 18:22 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.10 |
| 10-31 18:22 | Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 18:21 | Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 18:19 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 18:19 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |