PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4bd46d3d85e79c15e10415d9749fda5b74ec91ab

Realised P&L
$-130.97
Volume
$186.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$51.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:04Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$3.00
09-14 21:04Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 18:44Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$7.00
09-14 18:43Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$20.00
09-14 18:43Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$1.00
08-08 04:48Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
08-08 04:46Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
08-08 04:45Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 19:07Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
07-31 19:07Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 19:04Macron out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
07-31 19:04Macron out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 19:03Macron out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 19:02Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 18:57Macron out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00