PolyBot

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Traders

0x4bd15c6c0aae54647a94d50f5d3fc55ce6353533

0x4bd15c6c0aae54647a94d50f5d3fc55ce6353533

Realised P&L
$-8.88
Volume
$192.79
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$3.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.4600.620$1.35+$0.35
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No0.7800.878$1.13+$0.13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4700.420$0.89−$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:59Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-05 00:43Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-27 02:47Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 07:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-24 19:510 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.78$1.00
09-23 07:30Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7399999741$2.29
09-20 22:13Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2999999738$2.29
09-19 16:20Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6699998917$2.29
09-17 17:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999541$2.29
09-17 04:38Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4499999902$2.29
09-16 07:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.3699999515$2.29
09-15 10:57Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4199999963$2.29
09-15 02:26Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7899999759$2.29
09-14 06:25Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6999999389$2.29
09-13 22:13Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6799999352$1.68