0x4bd15c6c0aae54647a94d50f5d3fc55ce6353533
0x4bd15c6c0aae54647a94d50f5d3fc55ce6353533
- Realised P&L
- $-8.88
- Volume
- $192.79
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $3.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.620 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.878 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.420 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.12at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$3.38at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$2.69at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.590US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:43 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:47 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:51 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:13 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999738 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699998917 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 17:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999902 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 07:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 10:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 06:25 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999389 | $2.29 |
| 09-13 22:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999352 | $1.68 |