BoneWriter
0x4bd022e08d65c1bbc1dfa9ce714beaa7ff4b00bf
- Realised P&L
- $-17.0k
- Volume
- $5.23M
- Markets traded
- 30,143
- Open portfolio
- $564.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded30,143
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET · Up | 0.872 | 1.000 | $500.75 | +$64.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET · Up | 0.695 | 1.000 | $48.96 | +$14.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down | 0.810 | 0.995 | $8.90 | +$1.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.000 | 0.805 | $6.04 | +$6.04 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Down | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.92at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET
- +$227.67at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET
- +$213.94at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET
- +$211.68at 0.164Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET
- +$203.77at 0.681Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 11-02 01:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $3.45 |
| 11-02 01:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.349999987 | $5.40 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.489999952 | $3.57 |
| 11-02 01:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 11-02 01:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 11-02 01:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 11-02 01:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $16.59 |
| 11-02 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $11.36 |
| 11-02 01:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $38.48 |
| 11-02 01:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 11-02 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $29.67 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $16.56 |
| 11-02 01:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |