OscarEdwards8253
0x4bcdb248bdad7357e03caab965022a9f8a25e98b
- Realised P&L
- $-455.81
- Volume
- $214.8k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $161.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$463.87at 0.224Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
- +$381.81at 0.110Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$131.49at 0.690Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
- +$81.60at 0.510Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$64.06at 0.160Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 16:22 | Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2 | $7.00 |
| 02-08 16:18 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $140.76 |
| 02-08 16:18 | Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2 | $19.40 |
| 02-08 11:53 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $236.21 |
| 01-11 16:02 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.81 | $298.89 |
| 01-11 15:58 | Will Keon Ellis be traded this season? | SELL | 0.17 | $12.24 |
| 01-11 15:28 | Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $259.57 |
| 01-11 15:26 | Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $30.72 |
| 01-11 15:04 | Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $297.83 |
| 01-11 14:56 | Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.32 | $42.24 |
| 01-11 14:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $108.12 |
| 01-11 13:26 | Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 01-11 09:43 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $147.75 |
| 01-11 09:38 | Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.267 | $17.89 |
| 01-11 09:36 | Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.277 | $200.83 |