umyother
0x4bc6c48e2cbb44350a095354f9c1033aabc833eb
- Realised P&L
- $-152.42
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,590
- Open portfolio
- $25.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,590
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.81at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 10?
- +$26.18at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?
- +$17.75at 0.127Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 31?
- +$16.77at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?
- +$15.90at 0.065Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.3899999916 | $4.20 |
| 10-08 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.8661106518 | $8.71 |
| 10-08 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.8693228598 | $8.73 |
| 10-08 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.3499999954 | $3.80 |
| 10-07 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.98 |
| 10-07 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.993 | $10.30 |
| 10-07 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4653465282 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.30 |
| 10-07 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.8829999958 | $8.86 |
| 10-07 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.4199999888 | $4.50 |
| 10-07 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.719999977 | $7.50 |
| 10-07 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8299999971 | $8.60 |
| 10-07 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.8099999923 | $8.40 |
| 10-07 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.2899999937 | $3.20 |
| 10-06 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.32 |