PolyBot

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Traders

Xiaomao2006

0x4bb5507d7f8d44a6b5732502d47ab8b3d920dfca

Realised P&L
$544.60
Volume
$139.8k
Markets traded
805
Open portfolio
$684.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded805
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21? · No0.8090.990$329.70+$60.39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? · Yes0.8360.865$172.99+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22? · No0.8630.875$123.38+$1.70
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21? · No0.6411.000$38.59+$13.82
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21? · No0.8701.000$19.97+$2.59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$16.88
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 4? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$9.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$3.64
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$29.86
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 10? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00$22.22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$52.62
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00$57.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 28? · No0.8400.000$0.00$6.66
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? · No0.8190.000$0.00$60.79
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 7? · Yes0.4690.000$0.00$36.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 12:20Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?BUY0.87$76.56
09-21 08:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.82$32.80
09-21 08:47Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.91$57.29
09-21 02:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.88$88.88
09-20 15:55Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.69$8.17
09-20 14:11Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.62$16.60
09-20 14:03Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?BUY0.81$90.71
09-20 14:01Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.89$10.25
09-20 13:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.88$8.80
09-20 13:42Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.9$13.50
09-20 13:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.88$18.65
09-20 12:22Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.8699999955$17.38
09-20 09:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.7880415852$177.37
09-20 09:22Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.92$52.90
09-20 09:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.82$29.51