Xiaomao2006
0x4bb5507d7f8d44a6b5732502d47ab8b3d920dfca
- Realised P&L
- $544.60
- Volume
- $139.8k
- Markets traded
- 805
- Open portfolio
- $684.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded805
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.49at 0.704Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?
- +$190.05at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
- +$184.55at 0.508Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 4?
- +$173.82at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?
- +$156.34at 0.218Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.87 | $76.56 |
| 09-21 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 09-21 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $57.29 |
| 09-21 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.88 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.17 |
| 09-20 14:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.62 | $16.60 |
| 09-20 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.81 | $90.71 |
| 09-20 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.25 |
| 09-20 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-20 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $13.50 |
| 09-20 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $18.65 |
| 09-20 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8699999955 | $17.38 |
| 09-20 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7880415852 | $177.37 |
| 09-20 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $52.90 |
| 09-20 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.82 | $29.51 |