Xiaomao2006
0x4bb5507d7f8d44a6b5732502d47ab8b3d920dfca
- Realised P&L
- $147.94
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 489
- Open portfolio
- $289.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded489
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.84at 0.694Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?
- +$193.05at 0.447Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
- +$188.82at 0.497Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 4?
- +$179.18at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?
- +$158.00at 0.210Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 19:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 08-06 19:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $119.60 |
| 08-06 19:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.67 |
| 08-06 19:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-06 18:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5722026432 | $12.99 |
| 08-06 18:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5724604413 | $25.69 |
| 08-06 11:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 08-05 16:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-05 16:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 08-05 16:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 08-05 09:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 08-04 16:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $45.53 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.09 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $12.67 |