stinkybid
0x4bb2fae1895468622e99e337958ec72c1b5b9d99
- Realised P&L
- $-29.8k
- Volume
- $195.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $876.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.510 | 1.000 | $876.15 | +$429.09 |
| Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.45 |
| Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.9k |
| Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.910Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5
- +$277.49at 0.382Will Greece win on 2026-09-24?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.88at 0.820Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:48 | Australia vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.51 | $69.87 |
| 09-24 13:28 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3699999248 | $1.23 |
| 09-24 13:28 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.37 | $164.81 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1663754192 | $18.36 |
| 09-19 15:26 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.5 | $34.99 |
| 09-19 15:25 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 15:25 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.5200637146 | $1.6k |
| 09-19 15:24 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.535316346 | $3.1k |
| 09-19 15:23 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.56 | $49.84 |
| 09-17 19:09 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.8 | $53.60 |
| 09-17 18:41 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.74 | $991.50 |
| 09-17 17:53 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $31.7k |