PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SillyCat

0x4babc8ec1c0e57ad81d7d84d253dea20475cf7d3

Realised P&L
$-66.70
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? · Yes0.5001.000$2.8k+$1.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ET · Down0.9901.000$101.01+$1.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? · No0.9961.000$50.20+$0.20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? · No0.9920.956$10.60$0.40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes0.7400.700$0.95$0.05
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? · Yes0.6500.600$0.92$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? · No0.5000.000$0.00$1.4k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · No0.0180.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:03Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September?BUY0.992$11.00
09-22 12:03Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-22 12:02Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September?BUY0.74$1.00
09-22 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-22 11:59Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?BUY0.996$50.00
08-11 19:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.98$101.00
08-11 18:59Dogecoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.999$25.00
08-11 18:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETBUY0.99$100.00
07-30 11:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.986$33.00
07-30 11:28Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?BUY0.9954273253$100.00
07-30 11:28Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.999$1000.00
06-06 12:29Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.933276366$25.00
06-06 12:28Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.9299999888$5.00
06-06 12:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?BUY0.994$100.00
06-06 12:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6?BUY0.997$100.00