0x4baa4a80c0f5cf2b9d87614c3f301157c946dffc
0x4baa4a80c0f5cf2b9d87614c3f301157c946dffc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.66
- Volume
- $30.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.530 | $2.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $2.23 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.230 | $1.38 | −$0.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.305 | $0.92 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.66at 0.382Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.51 |
| 10-01 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 10-01 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-01 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 00:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 10-01 00:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 00:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |