0x4b9a180667F54bF2666E1587b7f7D42765B80382-1775350230272
0x4b9a180667f54bf2666e1587b7f7d42765b80382
- Realised P&L
- $-75.25
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $11.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.27at 0.325Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$18.55at 0.767Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$17.66at 0.184Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$13.74at 0.268Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$12.24at 0.619Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:05 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7919999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 03:53 | Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 03:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1139999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6289999843 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58599999 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 18:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.195 | $17.14 |
| 07-12 21:04 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 14:47 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 03:05 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2549999638 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 01:56 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0474999914 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 00:15 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2775000157 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:28 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5324999707 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:40 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1509999885 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 03:53 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |