LD8z
0x4b968531ffec2a12ec6f5f92200e193d8c0e7e60
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $413.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $551.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $276.24 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $275.12 | +$0.14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$517.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.961Spread: Japan (-1.5)
- +$929.36at 0.982Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)
- +$50.00at 0.500Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$32.91at 0.940Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$21.19at 0.988US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:38 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $274.98 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $276.24 |
| 07-15 13:13 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.992 | $513.19 |
| 07-10 14:35 | Spread: Belgium (-3.5) | BUY | 0.997 | $511.89 |
| 06-29 19:16 | Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9824418801 | $2.8k |
| 06-29 19:08 | Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $4.2k |
| 06-29 05:46 | Spread: Japan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.96 | $52.4k |
| 06-06 12:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $511.32 |
| 06-03 02:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $495.82 |
| 05-19 13:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $495.32 |
| 05-16 15:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $510.84 |
| 05-11 03:51 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $510.37 |
| 05-04 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $509.89 |
| 04-29 15:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $507.98 |
| 04-16 09:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 19? | BUY | 0.9988035132 | $508.24 |