PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LD8z

0x4b968531ffec2a12ec6f5f92200e193d8c0e7e60

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$413.0k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$551.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 5? · No0.9990.999$276.24+$0.00
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 6? · No0.9991.000$275.12+$0.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9670.000$0.00−$517.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 13:38Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 6?BUY0.999$274.98
10-02 13:38Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 5?BUY0.999$276.24
07-15 13:13Spread: Argentina (-3.5)BUY0.992$513.19
07-10 14:35Spread: Belgium (-3.5)BUY0.997$511.89
06-29 19:16Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)BUY0.9824418801$2.8k
06-29 19:08Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)BUY0.98$4.2k
06-29 05:46Spread: Japan (-1.5)BUY0.96$52.4k
06-06 12:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.988$511.32
06-03 02:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.96$495.82
05-19 13:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?BUY0.999$495.32
05-16 15:38Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on May 18?BUY0.999$510.84
05-11 03:51Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 13?BUY0.999$510.37
05-04 15:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6?BUY0.999$509.89
04-29 15:28Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?BUY0.998$507.98
04-16 09:28Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 19?BUY0.9988035132$508.24