shamelessreferralaccount
0x4b8cf80092c60b9b23d22133eb63eb4508fe4d31
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $5.97M
- Markets traded
- 5,285
- Open portfolio
- $52.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Down | 0.734 | 0.855 | $51.96 | +$7.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Up | 0.220 | 0.145 | $0.72 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.414Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-29 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.8325 | $8.32 |
| 10-29 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-28 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-01 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 04-08 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $29.82 |
| 04-03 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $7.20 |
| 04-03 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4729285714 | $6.12 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $4.84 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $5.14 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $6.08 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $0.36 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.49 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $4.47 |
| 04-03 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $4.47 |