volvo628
0x4b8891eee7a4735e91fd4c9b03c26cecf3ff86c4
- Realised P&L
- $836.13
- Volume
- $218.2k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.551Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$650.53at 0.666Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$338.80at 0.0162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$240.00at 0.600Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$220.00at 0.843Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $13.20 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 05:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.539 | $2.78 |
| 07-28 00:16 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 07-27 13:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $49.50 |
| 06-23 13:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $20.68 |
| 06-14 14:44 | Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 14:41 | Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 14:33 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 06-14 12:06 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 06-11 16:00 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 05-10 05:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | SELL | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 05-07 02:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.65 | $328.24 |
| 05-06 11:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY | 0.54 | $122.23 |
| 05-04 10:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY | 0.73 | $15.91 |