PolyBot

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Traders

volvo628

0x4b8891eee7a4735e91fd4c9b03c26cecf3ff86c4

Realised P&L
$836.13
Volume
$218.2k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.944$855.10+$3.17
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.952$666.04+$8.05
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1180.115$115.00$3.00
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.7330.225$105.37$238.07
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2080.097$48.50$55.50
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.3680.000$0.00$55.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.5390.000$0.00$2.78
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$33.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? · No0.0800.000$0.00$40.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? · No0.3100.000$0.00$31.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.1030.000$0.00$226.00
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No0.3600.000$0.00$72.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$60.50
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6900.000$0.00$41.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2?BUY0.11$13.20
08-01 05:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.06$3.00
07-29 05:43Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.539$2.78
07-28 00:16Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.8$8.00
07-27 13:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?SELL0.5$49.50
06-23 13:17Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$20.68
06-14 14:44Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-14 14:41Spread: Germany (-3.5)BUY0.5099999786$10.00
06-14 14:33Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.52$52.00
06-14 12:06Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.53$53.00
06-11 16:00Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.31$31.00
05-10 05:14Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?SELL0.31$62.00
05-07 02:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.65$328.24
05-06 11:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?BUY0.54$122.23
05-04 10:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?BUY0.73$15.91