PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4b833D4b03D16e2546d1db9fd87923878DE3B2F8-1770132146480

0x4b833d4b03d16e2546d1db9fd87923878de3b2f8

Realised P&L
$-249.28
Volume
$287.6k
Markets traded
565
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded565
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? · No0.9820.996$304.12+$4.12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? · No0.9880.999$303.19+$3.19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? · No0.9930.999$301.81+$1.81
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? · Yes0.9940.996$300.65+$0.65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9910.987$298.64−$1.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? · No0.9970.998$178.18+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.982$300.00
09-30 16:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1?BUY0.996999999$178.00
09-30 16:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?BUY0.990999999$300.00
09-30 16:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1?BUY0.993$300.00
09-30 16:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1?BUY0.9879835336$300.00
09-30 16:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1?BUY0.9938398261$300.00
09-30 14:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 30?BUY0.9968511843$700.00
09-30 14:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 30?BUY0.9955099037$600.00
09-30 14:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30?BUY0.9959917001$600.00
09-29 17:34Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?SELL0.991$149.69
09-29 17:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?BUY0.9929999988$150.00
09-29 12:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29?SELL0.946$146.28
09-28 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?BUY0.9858356939$150.00
09-28 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.9942377493$150.00
09-28 16:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 29?BUY0.9909669677$150.00