0x4b8326655dc58df504483616796731da862d7005
- Realised P&L
- $-47.35
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $8.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.140 | $8.15 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.32at 0.161Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$20.90at 0.198Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-08?
- +$19.40at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$11.31at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$10.81at 0.324Solana Up or Down - August 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999974 | $9.90 |
| 09-11 17:09 | Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5499999109 | $2.47 |
| 09-11 17:07 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.2699999749 | $2.47 |
| 09-11 15:57 | Cowboys vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4099999824 | $3.96 |
| 09-11 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999239 | $2.47 |
| 09-11 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.529999927 | $2.47 |
| 08-14 13:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.1749998825 | $1.08 |
| 08-14 12:55 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.16 |
| 08-13 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998881 | $1.08 |
| 08-12 14:35 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.6 | $2.97 |
| 08-12 14:35 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.6 | $2.97 |
| 08-12 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999027 | $1.98 |
| 08-12 11:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $1.58 |
| 08-12 11:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999908 | $1.98 |
| 08-12 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $3.09 |