Munjogu
0x4b7ea37b437509cd1068735666a6577f6f99cc0c
- Realised P&L
- $4.67
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $28.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $27.00 | +$9.02 |
| Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $1.88 | −$1.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.482Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 17?
- +$0.97at 0.612Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?
- +$0.51at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?
- +$0.48at 0.759Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?
- +$0.41at 0.788Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 11:22 | Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 08-27 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 10:34 | Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 10:34 | Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 12:38 | Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 12:38 | Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.66 |
| 08-17 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 08-17 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.8899994779 | $1.50 |
| 08-17 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.7699999025 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 16? | BUY | 0.869999942 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16? | BUY | 0.8399999552 | $1.50 |