boboso
0x4b6fc3762776ee95c2c828f43b54a0e1506d1dc2
- Realised P&L
- $-10.46
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $16.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.973Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
- +$2.33at 0.300Ankalaev vs. Pereira
- +$0.80at 0.992Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?
- +$0.63at 0.979Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
- +$0.50at 0.979Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.80 |
| 09-25 13:02 | Harvard vs. Brown | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 04:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.9989999516 | $16.20 |
| 06-07 11:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 05-28 06:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.9989999902 | $93.00 |
| 05-22 12:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.9989999899 | $90.00 |
| 05-22 12:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 12:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 05-17 07:56 | Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 05-12 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.9989999901 | $92.00 |
| 05-07 09:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7? | BUY | 0.9979999971 | $92.00 |
| 05-03 10:34 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 04-26 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.99 |
| 04-26 03:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.88 |
| 04-17 12:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.99 |