0x4B60FCD2cc52d8A8D7328d099ED797613023830b-1770920583545
0x4b60fcd2cc52d8a8d7328d099ed797613023830b
- Realised P&L
- $0.40
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $98.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.50at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?
- +$80.39at 0.261Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
- +$5.38at 0.650Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$4.48at 0.834Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.20at 0.720Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 02:01 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.34 | $25.61 |
| 06-10 10:36 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 06-10 10:27 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 00:00 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.79 |
| 06-01 16:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.45 |
| 06-01 01:34 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 01:33 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 01:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8309999957 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 01:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 03:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? | BUY | 0.8299999943 | $5.87 |
| 05-17 03:10 | Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 03:09 | Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 03:08 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.3089999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 03:05 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 03:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |