PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4B60FCD2cc52d8A8D7328d099ED797613023830b-1770920583545

0x4b60fcd2cc52d8a8d7328d099ed797613023830b

Realised P&L
$0.40
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$98.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? · Yes0.3450.415$98.01+$16.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up0.5080.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$16.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.7920.000$0.00−$3.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8310.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$17.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.2010.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Up0.0660.000$0.00−$2.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 02:01Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.34$25.61
06-10 10:36Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?BUY0.85$12.75
06-10 10:27Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?BUY0.4$10.00
06-08 00:00Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.72$10.79
06-01 16:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.83$12.45
06-01 01:34US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-01 01:33Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
06-01 01:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8309999957$10.00
06-01 01:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
05-17 03:12U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? BUY0.8299999943$5.87
05-17 03:10Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
05-17 03:09Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
05-17 03:08Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.3089999839$10.00
05-17 03:05Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
05-17 03:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999815$10.00