PolyBot

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Traders

konstantino

0x4b5e1f8f7d941451bff9f9ce2100284d1c323805

Realised P&L
$-448.85
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$367.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8930.855$272.46$12.16
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9000.895$58.17$0.32
Will SB Energy IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.8500.925$36.91+$2.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:27Will SB Energy IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$33.91
09-17 11:27Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?SELL0.999$569.43
09-16 17:32Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?SELL0.1146969167$13.76
09-12 12:53Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.9$58.49
09-11 12:02Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.89$35.59
09-09 06:34Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?BUY0.8785964912$500.80
09-08 10:07Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?BUY0.85$41.89
09-07 20:33Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.8931458876$284.62
09-07 20:31Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?BUY0.8357585$100.29
04-20 08:32No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.8999999986$250.00
04-12 19:42Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?SELL0.09$24.06
04-08 21:26Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?SELL0.5$44.89
04-08 11:18Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?BUY0.7796352973$70.00
04-06 06:17Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.75$72.50
04-02 08:41Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?BUY0.7491533333$198.21