6TGYH7
0x4b5d8cc68750862273bc151c23fc87c5565f6e59
- Realised P&L
- $-90.74
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $6.36 | −$95.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
- +$1.51at 0.972Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$0.37at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
- +$0.36at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?
- +$0.18at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:18 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $101.83 |
| 02-02 05:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.47 |
| 02-02 05:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.36 |
| 01-28 03:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.99 | $41.10 |
| 01-28 03:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.993 | $60.00 |
| 01-20 02:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $8.13 |
| 01-20 02:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.98 | $91.00 |
| 01-14 02:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.00 |
| 01-14 02:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.00 |
| 01-07 07:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $2.15 |
| 01-07 07:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 01-07 07:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.995 | $36.60 |
| 12-16 02:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $44.54 |
| 12-08 06:19 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.972 | $52.57 |