PolyBot

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Traders

lutinfacetieux

0x4b5c4b3c9eed6566830f91d1f33d8877b8736276

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$525.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2770.275$148.70$1.30
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2220.155$136.94$59.28
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4990.280$84.14$65.86
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5400.680$62.96+$12.96
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1080.043$59.09$89.01
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4850.165$34.05$65.95
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$103.00
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$150.00
Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$165.90
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00$400.00
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%? · Yes0.6390.000$0.00$600.00
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · No0.5510.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 11:57Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.1448045194$48.45
05-14 11:14Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2774119076$150.00
05-14 11:12Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1077717426$185.72
05-14 11:10Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.222094392$200.00
05-14 11:09Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4991552031$150.00
05-14 11:08Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4846107025$100.00
05-14 11:08Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
03-21 17:59Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?BUY0.380121404$200.00
03-21 17:56Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?BUY0.3191147399$150.00
03-21 17:24Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?BUY0.1707993842$103.00
03-21 16:55Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?BUY0.6390309087$600.00
03-19 04:18Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?SELL0.001$1.17
03-17 11:59Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?BUY0.0170275079$20.00
03-15 10:42Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?BUY0.7340501904$400.00
03-14 19:02Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?BUY0.581003164$120.00