lutinfacetieux
0x4b5c4b3c9eed6566830f91d1f33d8877b8736276
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $525.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.98at 0.857Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
- +$-21.04at 0.017Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:57 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1448045194 | $48.45 |
| 05-14 11:14 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2774119076 | $150.00 |
| 05-14 11:12 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1077717426 | $185.72 |
| 05-14 11:10 | Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.222094392 | $200.00 |
| 05-14 11:09 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4991552031 | $150.00 |
| 05-14 11:08 | Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4846107025 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 11:08 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 03-21 17:59 | Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon? | BUY | 0.380121404 | $200.00 |
| 03-21 17:56 | Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.3191147399 | $150.00 |
| 03-21 17:24 | Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.1707993842 | $103.00 |
| 03-21 16:55 | Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%? | BUY | 0.6390309087 | $600.00 |
| 03-19 04:18 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.17 |
| 03-17 11:59 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.0170275079 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 10:42 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.7340501904 | $400.00 |
| 03-14 19:02 | Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.581003164 | $120.00 |