PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

j2ilwmy801sv

0x4b5b343aa5c12d4794332687261a7117a33e77f3

Realised P&L
$-533.17
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$14.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9800.985$2.51+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat? · Yes0.9050.906$2.50+$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.860$2.50+$0.00
USC vs. Rutgers · USC0.9400.935$2.49$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat? · No0.9100.905$2.49$0.01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No0.8600.855$2.49$0.01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:21Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.8599999794$2.50
09-16 23:19Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?BUY0.9049999801$2.50
09-16 23:19Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
09-16 20:28Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.98$2.50
09-16 17:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$2.50
09-16 08:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999859$2.50
09-16 00:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$2.50
09-15 19:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$2.50
09-15 13:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999859$2.50
09-15 08:35USC vs. RutgersBUY0.939999985$2.50
09-15 00:56Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.8599999794$2.50
09-14 23:52Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 24.5BUY0.9299999888$2.50
07-01 00:13Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.5699999921$23.00
07-01 00:12Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.239999998$80.00
07-01 00:02Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.57$7.00