j2ilwmy801sv
0x4b5b343aa5c12d4794332687261a7117a33e77f3
- Realised P&L
- $-533.17
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $14.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.985 | $2.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.906 | $2.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.860 | $2.50 | +$0.00 |
| USC vs. Rutgers · USC | 0.940 | 0.935 | $2.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $2.49 | −$0.01 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.855 | $2.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.81at 0.553Algeria leading at halftime?
- +$24.74at 0.543Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$17.99at 0.562Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
- +$8.72at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?
- +$4.88at 0.452Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999794 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 23:19 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9049999801 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 23:19 | Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 20:28 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 17:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 08:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 19:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 13:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 08:35 | USC vs. Rutgers | BUY | 0.939999985 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 00:56 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999794 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 23:52 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 24.5 | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $2.50 |
| 07-01 00:13 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.5699999921 | $23.00 |
| 07-01 00:12 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.239999998 | $80.00 |
| 07-01 00:02 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.00 |