0a25
0x4b5b100bde3a1d74646ca7816e2e1e405d170872
- Realised P&L
- $-403.01
- Volume
- $288.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $175.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.57at 0.533Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$165.56at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$154.00at 0.480Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$80.37at 0.149Linea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$67.50at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 12:54 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 12:54 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 12:53 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.04 |
| 09-06 12:52 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.80 |
| 09-06 12:52 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.58 |
| 08-11 01:49 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 08-11 01:46 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 07-13 14:26 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $16.00 |
| 07-03 17:30 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 07-03 17:30 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.49 |
| 07-03 12:28 | Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-03 12:27 | Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by July 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 06-27 18:42 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 20:41 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 06-21 15:53 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.04 |