PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0a25

0x4b5b100bde3a1d74646ca7816e2e1e405d170872

Realised P&L
$-403.01
Volume
$288.7k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$175.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.035$79.88+$34.38
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.006$32.50$17.40
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.008$16.45+$1.84
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1790.145$16.35$3.81
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$15.00$32.91
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$10.50$14.48
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0470.011$5.25$18.25
Linea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.5880.000$0.00$132.24
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$9.50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$32.80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$38.80
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.6700.000$0.00$35.00
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 12:54Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.008$1.19
09-06 12:54Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.008$8.00
09-06 12:53Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.007$2.04
09-06 12:52Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.006$1.80
09-06 12:52Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$1.58
08-11 01:49Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.006$6.00
08-11 01:46Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.006$6.00
07-13 14:26Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$16.00
07-03 17:30Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.38$3.80
07-03 17:30Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.34$2.49
07-03 12:28Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?BUY0.27$2.70
07-03 12:27Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by July 31?BUY0.73$5.11
06-27 18:42Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$3.00
06-21 20:41Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.26$1.30
06-21 15:53Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.16$1.04