PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rastvoritel

0x4b482c83c4e3a417880bba0ec16662cf30ff02f1

Realised P&L
$-270.63
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$9.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0670.021$9.66−$21.14
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.034$0.68
09-28 11:49Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.93$4.65
03-23 12:40Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.57$15.79
03-19 17:10Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.025$3.03
03-15 14:56Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0480707602$3.00
03-15 14:55Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0510802537$3.00
03-10 08:32US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL0.1109981638$4.44
03-09 12:21US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.25$2.50
02-28 09:42Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?SELL0.0115$0.11
02-28 07:11Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?SELL0.84$1.29
02-28 07:11Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.11$3.30
02-28 07:11Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.75$3.75
02-28 06:37Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$6.90
02-28 06:37US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$4.70
02-26 18:40US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?SELL0.36$3.60