Peaven
0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 584
- Open portfolio
- $945.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded584
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.18at 0.308US strikes Yemen by December 31?
- +$60.99at 0.305Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
- +$52.50at 0.390Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
- +$52.12at 0.708Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$47.75at 0.856Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:54 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-01 15:09 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 15:05 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $60.80 |
| 10-01 07:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $27.62 |
| 10-01 06:56 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.92 |
| 09-29 21:53 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-28 22:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 09-28 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.28975 | $57.95 |
| 09-28 19:41 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $60.00 |
| 09-24 13:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 10:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.333 | $9.99 |
| 09-21 20:40 | Tropical Storm Odalys strengthens to a hurricane? | BUY | 0.5266666667 | $31.60 |
| 09-21 18:45 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-21 07:44 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 09-20 19:04 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | BUY | 0.836 | $4.18 |