0x4b4140227e1292d871058b1f419c480bb16f0c9f
0x4b4140227e1292d871058b1f419c480bb16f0c9f
- Realised P&L
- $0.06
- Volume
- $155.12
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $15.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.595 | $10.44 | +$0.44 |
| Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.485 | 0.535 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.833Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 5.5
- +$1.26at 0.901Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5
- +$0.37at 1.010Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$0.32at 0.692XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.753XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 23:18 | Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4851484889 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 23:15 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:23 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.03 |
| 09-28 02:20 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 01:47 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 09-28 01:37 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $21.61 |
| 09-28 00:49 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8941400114 | $13.87 |
| 09-28 00:49 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.7929999973 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 00:30 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.7399999731 | $2.75 |
| 09-28 00:28 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 07:16 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $1.18 |
| 09-27 07:15 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 07:13 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $1.44 |
| 09-27 07:12 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |