PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4b4140227e1292d871058b1f419c480bb16f0c9f

0x4b4140227e1292d871058b1f419c480bb16f0c9f

Realised P&L
$0.06
Volume
$155.12
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$15.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.5700.595$10.44+$0.44
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4850.535$5.51+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 23:18Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5BUY0.4851484889$5.00
09-29 23:15Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
09-28 02:23Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.7$1.03
09-28 02:20Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-28 01:47Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 5.5SELL0.999$12.60
09-28 01:37Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5SELL0.999$21.61
09-28 00:49Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5BUY0.8941400114$13.87
09-28 00:49Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 5.5BUY0.7929999973$10.00
09-28 00:30Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5BUY0.7399999731$2.75
09-28 00:28Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5BUY0.8299999792$2.00
09-27 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
09-27 07:16XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSELL0.84$1.18
09-27 07:15XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-27 07:13XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSELL0.94$1.44
09-27 07:12XRP Up or Down - September 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00