PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cynic

0x4b3c5ba3a3eb539a007072cfe970f83bb6da7cd3

Realised P&L
$228.21
Volume
$1.56M
Markets traded
1,085
Open portfolio
$495.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,085
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3470.936$304.10+$191.42
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8600.875$174.99+$3.00
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4860.080$14.73$74.79
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0900.029$2.09$4.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21? · No0.1590.000$0.00$21.96
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? · No0.3030.000$0.00$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 23? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00$32.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$0.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25? · No0.3060.000$0.00$152.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 03:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.6$6.00
08-12 03:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.6$6.00
08-12 03:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.64$6.40
08-12 03:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.65$6.50
08-12 02:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.57$5.70
08-12 02:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.58$5.80
08-12 01:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.57$5.70
08-12 01:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.62$6.20
08-12 01:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.62$6.20
08-12 01:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.63$6.30
08-12 01:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.65$6.50
08-12 00:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.7$7.00
08-12 00:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.7$7.00
08-12 00:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.71$7.10
08-11 22:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.62$6.20