rrtyyuu
0x4b3aec9e909b47c9d30a37d56654522694bdd7f5
- Realised P&L
- $0.35
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $175.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No | 0.940 | 0.984 | $98.35 | +$4.35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.820 | 0.945 | $37.80 | +$5.00 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.920 | $36.82 | +$8.42 |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $2.25 | −$2.25 |
| JD Vance out as VP by June 30? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.40 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.20 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.50at 0.430Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$24.00at 0.540Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$23.99at 0.470Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$17.50at 0.500Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$15.90at 0.470Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 03-12 06:06 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3490007008 | $20.94 |
| 03-01 11:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |