PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

heaven-h-413

0x4b38218db6e586bfddf766f934cc5ba065dc008f

Realised P&L
$-80.10
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$257.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? · No0.8370.955$45.68+$5.66
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 27? · No0.7390.795$32.11+$2.27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 27? · No0.8100.965$28.62+$4.60
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 27? · Yes0.2200.360$21.40+$8.32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27? · No0.7450.620$20.47−$4.11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27? · No0.6000.740$19.23+$3.64
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26? · No0.7900.700$14.46−$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 28? · Yes0.3600.390$12.57+$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.3300.365$11.78+$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 26? · No0.8650.945$9.45+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? · No0.7040.760$7.10+$0.52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? · No0.2500.275$5.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.0810.105$5.43+$1.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? · Yes0.3800.345$5.15−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 27? · Yes0.3050.305$4.70−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.2399999927$2.62
09-26 18:10Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 28?BUY0.08$0.00
09-26 17:38Ball State vs. Kent State: 2Q O/U 8.5BUY0.21$0.28
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.3799999906$5.67
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?BUY0.4299998855$1.39
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?SELL0.22$2.68
09-26 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.05$0.50
09-26 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.25$5.00
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.0809674923$4.18
09-26 16:10Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?SELL0.76$1.12
09-26 15:11Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 28?BUY0.3599999913$11.60
09-26 15:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.3299999926$10.65
09-26 15:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.7042418585$6.58
09-26 15:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?SELL0.4225081617$37.53
09-26 14:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 26?SELL0.996$1.10