0x4b36f81729e6df3eF2c5F531a0806a379C13002A-1762281899965
0x4b36f81729e6df3ef2c5f531a0806a379c13002a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.00
- Volume
- $976.18
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $19.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$6.33at 0.240US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.310Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 16:26 | Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 16:24 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 16:23 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 16:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 18:39 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 18:38 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 12:10 | San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 04-12 12:10 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $0.96 |
| 04-12 12:08 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.97 |
| 04-12 12:05 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.10 |
| 04-07 09:37 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $0.97 |
| 04-01 13:21 | Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 04-01 13:21 | NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $0.97 |
| 03-31 16:39 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 03-31 16:39 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.97 |