teilativi
0x4b35e83b463f4a65bc8b23f889e52f3053348939
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $198.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.051 | $162.31 | −$748.29 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No | 0.510 | 0.924 | $36.24 | +$16.24 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-33.08at 0.155Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$-73.59at 0.470Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
- +$-74.11at 0.056Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 17:25 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2724907778 | $186.07 |
| 07-21 14:49 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.5047491263 | $108.56 |
| 07-21 12:16 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3858365274 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 09:26 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.558055409 | $78.15 |
| 07-12 09:25 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 09:24 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3860576703 | $8.00 |
| 07-12 09:23 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2797355324 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 23:07 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2754027175 | $62.89 |
| 07-07 23:06 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.24 | $60.00 |
| 07-06 09:36 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3254815225 | $46.94 |
| 07-02 19:04 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1792136306 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 18:57 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1142580276 | $60.00 |
| 06-28 11:51 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.56 |
| 06-24 00:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1549999963 | $34.65 |
| 06-23 22:16 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.76 |