0x4b2ed4cee0aa210e6c13d2c43b64891604ca39e3
0x4b2ed4cee0aa210e6c13d2c43b64891604ca39e3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.73
- Volume
- $88.48
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.545 | $0.86 | −$0.13 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.370 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.319Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.01at 0.379S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
- +$1.11at 0.480Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:34 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:04 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:03 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:25 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |